Match Info

Cymru South - Round 17

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Richmond Park (Carmarthen)


	Carmarthen Town		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.4	2.98
	2.18	3.58	3.01
	2.15	3.1	2.9
	2.13	3.28	3.06
	2.2	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.62)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	2.97 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmarthen Town
42.2%

Draw
27.3%

Ammanford
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.1%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carmarthen Town's performance.

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ammanford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Carmarthen Town - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 1, Giardelli A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 2.

Recent form of Carmarthen Town has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ammanford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmarthen Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
13.12.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Colwyn Bay	1:3 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
14.11.25	Trefelin - Carmarthen Town	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
28.11.25	Baglan Dragons - Ammanford	0:3 ✺
14.11.25	Cambrian United - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ammanford - Afan Lido	6:0 ✺
01.11.25	Newport City - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
24.10.25	Ammanford - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
10.10.25	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	1:1
01.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	3:0
23.08.24	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	2:3
20.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1
06.10.23	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	2:2
02.01.23	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	2:2
27.12.22	Ammanford - Carmarthen Town	0:4

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