Match Info

Cymru South - Round 20

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Afan Lido		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.85	1.62
	4.25	3.91	1.68
	4.21	4.27	1.67
	4.2	3.5	1.67
	4.21	4.1	1.7
	4.3	3.8	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (4)	3.91 ↓ (4)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
21.6%

Draw
23.5%

Carmarthen Town
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 1.

Carmarthen Town is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Afan Lido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carmarthen Town is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:28. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 2.1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Carmarthen Town	9	4	2	3	20:19	1	14
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Afan Lido - the odds 4 are the expected chance of winning is 22.45%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
30.12.25	Afan Lido - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
26.12.25	Baglan Dragons - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
16.12.25	Afan Lido - Ynyshir Albions	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Afan Lido - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLT
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
10.01.26	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Aberystwyth Town - Carmarthen Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Carmarthen Town - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
24.10.25	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	1:0
01.03.25	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	2:2
27.09.24	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	3:3
02.02.24	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	4:1
30.09.23	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	3:3
03.02.23	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	3:0
01.10.22	Carmarthen Town - Afan Lido	0:3

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