Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 22

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Abertillery Bluebirds		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.92	1.66
	4.2	3.92	1.66
	3.95	3.85	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (4)	3.9 ↓ (4.2)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abertillery Bluebirds
22.5%

Draw
23.2%

Baglan Dragons
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

21.8%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

21.1%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abertillery Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Baglan Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abertillery Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baglan Dragons than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Baglan Dragons is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abertillery Bluebirds
Welsh Cymru South
27.01.24	Carmarthen Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Abertillery Bluebirds	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Abertillery Bluebirds - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Abertillery Bluebirds - Taffs Well AFC	1:1 ✺
02.01.24	Abergavenny Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28 LWTTL
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
27.01.24	Baglan Dragons - Goytre United	2:1 ✺
20.01.24	Baglan Dragons - Caerau Ely	2:0 ✺
12.01.24	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	0:2 ✺
06.01.24	Baglan Dragons - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
03.01.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	✺

Abertillery Bluebirds - Baglan Dragons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide