Match Info

Cymru South - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Ammanford

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.65	2.78
	2.13	3.74	2.76
	2.16	3.4	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.97)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	2.82 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
42.6%

Draw
25.2%

Ammanford
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

27.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Ammanford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aberystwyth Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ammanford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ammanford will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ammanford will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Aberystwyth has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ammanford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Aberystwyth will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Carmarthen Town - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
26.07.25	Llantwit Major - Aberystwyth Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Ammanford - Treowen Stars	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Ynyshir Albions - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
08.08.25	Ammanford - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Cardiff Draconians - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.07.25	Ammanford - Cardiff City U21	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWWL

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