Match Info

Cymru South - Round 2

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Park Avenue (Aberystwyth)


	Aberystwyth Town		Baglan Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.95	4.25
	1.74	4.26	3.43
	2.89	3.90	2.11	Watch
	1.68	3.84	4.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.66)	3.99 ↓ (4.58)	3.48 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
48.4%

Draw
24%

Baglan Dragons
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

19.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aberystwyth Town's form might have worsened.

Baglan Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Aberystwyth Town - Baglan Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Holmes L. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Hartley Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Mayemba S. ⚽,
64', Thompson R. 🟥,

Preview

Aberystwyth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aberystwyth has had a series of away games.

In this match, Aberystwyth is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
26.07.25	Llantwit Major - Aberystwyth Town	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Caernarfon Town - Aberystwyth Town	7:0 ✺
15.07.25	Bala Town - Aberystwyth Town	5:1 ✺
08.07.25	Guilsfield - Aberystwyth Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLT
- Baglan Dragons
Welsh Cymru South
27.07.25	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	3:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
20.07.25	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.25	Cefn Cribwr - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Haverfordwest County - Baglan Dragons	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.04.25	Ammanford - Baglan Dragons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLT

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