Match Info

Cymru South - Round 9

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Aberystwyth Town		Pure Swansea

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.52
	2.37	3.65	2.69
	2.33	3.74	2.68	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.65
	2.33	3.93	2.59
	2.25	3.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.37)	3.61 ↓ (3.73)	2.61 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
39.6%

Draw
25.3%

Pure Swansea
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

24.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

24.6%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Pure Swansea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Aberystwyth Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pure Swansea than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Aberystwyth Town - Pure Swansea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd and 1st in the Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

Both teams arrive in flying form having triumphed in their latest fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pure Swansea	8	6	2	0	25:6	19	20
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
12.09.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llanelli	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	5:1 ✺
01.08.26	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Pure Swansea FC
Welsh Cymru South
11.09.26	Pure Swansea - Pontardawe Town	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Pure Swansea - Pontypridd United	4:4 ✺
21.08.26	Caerau Ely - Pure Swansea	1:5 ✺
15.08.26	Pure Swansea - Llanelli	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Llantwit Major - Pure Swansea	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWW

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