Match Info

Cymru South - Round 1

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Afan Lido		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.40	2.20
	2.88	3.49	2.18
	2.89	3.6	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.15
	2.84	3.44	2.18
	2.75	3.35	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.48)	3.46 ↓ (3.68)	2.19 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
32.1%

Draw
26.3%

Aberystwyth Town
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

25.2%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afan Lido's form might have worsened.

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Keetch C. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Liyr D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
60', 1 - 2, Williams A. ⚽,
69', 1 - 3, Walsh L. ⚽,
72', 1 - 4, Hughes R. ⚽,
88', 2 - 4, Pascoe J. ⚽,
90', 2 - 5, Thompson R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 1.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:27. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Afan Lido - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.4%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Cardiff Draconians - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	4:1 ✺
28.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 LWWWW
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Ynyshir Albions - Aberystwyth Town	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Cambrian United - Aberystwyth Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	0:1
27.09.25	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1
Club Friendly
05.08.16	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
28.03.14	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	7:1
18.02.14	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	0:6
30.11.13	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	2:1
26.08.13	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	3:0

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