Match Info

Cymru South - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Caerphilly Athletic		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.50	2.32
	2.58	3.63	2.46	Watch
	2.47	3.64	2.31
	2.44	3.60	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.46)	3.59 ↑ (3.54)	2.35 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerphilly Athletic
36.4%

Draw
25.2%

Aberystwyth Town
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerphilly Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Aberystwyth Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Caerphilly Athletic - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Williams A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Skiverton F. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Skiverton F. ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, Hollinshead R. ⚽,
88', Walsh L. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).

Recent performances by Caerphilly have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caerphilly may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
14	Caerphilly	9	2	2	5	9:17	-8	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerphilly Athletic
Welsh Cymru South
04.09.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerphilly Athletic	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Baglan Dragons - Caerphilly Athletic	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Ynyshir Albions	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Caerphilly Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWTL
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
31.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llanelli	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Pontardawe Town	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	5:1 ✺
01.08.26	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	2:5 ✺
18.04.26	Ynyshir Albions - Aberystwyth Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWT

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