Match Info

Cymru South - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday


	Aberystwyth Town		Llantwit Major

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.40
	1.40	4.63	6.25
	1.38	4.84	7.16	Watch
	1.38	4.55	6.15
	1.36	4.50	6.93
	1.38	4.30	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.56)	4.45 ↑ (3.99)	6.15 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberystwyth Town
64.7%

Draw
20.5%

Llantwit Major
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.7%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberystwyth Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aberystwyth Town's performance.

Llantwit Major has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Williams A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Evans G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 3 - 0, Hughes R. ⚽,
53', 3 - 1, Goldsworthy C. ⚽,
60', 4 - 1, Walsh L. ⚽,
72', 5 - 1, Williams A. ⚽,

Preview

Llantwit Major may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aberystwyth is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aberystwyth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Aberystwyth won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aberystwyth	8	6	1	1	22:8	14	19
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
01.08.26	Afan Lido - Aberystwyth Town	2:5 ✺
18.04.26	Ynyshir Albions - Aberystwyth Town	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL
- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
15.08.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	5:0 ✺
01.08.26	Llantwit Major - Pure Swansea	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Llantwit Major - Cambrian United	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
04.04.26	Aberystwyth Town - Llantwit Major	2:2
26.07.25	Llantwit Major - Aberystwyth Town	1:2

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