Match Info

Division 1 - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Abha		Al Raed

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.5	3.2
	1.89	3.72	3.39	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.4
	1.88	3.54	3.49	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.96)	3.53 ↓ (3.56)	3.4 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Abha
47.8%

Draw
25.6%

Al Raed
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Al Raed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abha than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-1%)

Abha - Al Raed Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Abha (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Al Bouq A. (G) 79. Al Jayzani F. 3. Gaari J. 4. Abuyabes M. 23. Al Oufi M. 14. Al Ghamdi F. 6. Taira A. (C) 77. Agi 11. Muralha 10. Al Mutairi M. 88. Sow S.	88. Al Otaibi M. (G) 32. Al Dossary M. 38. Al Dawsari M. 21. Gonzalez O. (C) 25. Abdulrazaq F. 5. Tweh S. 8. Narvaez J. 15. Shami A. 26. Bouzok Y. 7. Al Shaikh M. 9. Gano Z.
Substitutes
45. Akjah M. (G) 8. Al Daajani N. 93. Al Manhali S. 66. Al Mousa H. 28. Al Mutairi B. 20. Al Shammari H. 9. Al Sulays H. 25. Asiri W. 12. Ibrahim Y. Y.	22. Al Ohaymid S. (G) 24. Al Salouli S. 6. Al Shaikhi A. 11. Al Shanqiti W. 2. Al Shuqayran T. 13. Al Yousif A. 42. Al Zahrani A. 45. Sunbul Y. 66. Whaeshi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Gano Z. ⚽, Bouzok Y. (A),
30', Taira A. 🟨,
45+2', Al Dossary M. 🟨,
45+8', 1 - 1, Sow S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Taira A. 🟨,
70', Al Jayzani F. 🟨,
75', Al Shaikh M. ↓, Sunbul Y. ↑,
75', Shami A. ↓, Al Salouli S. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Muralha ⚽,
86', Abdulrazaq F. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
90', Al Ghamdi F. ↓, Al Mousa H. ↑,
90', Al Jayzani F. ↓, Ibrahim Y. Y. ↑,
90+5', Al Mutairi M. ↓, Al Manhali S. ↑,
90+6', Al Oufi M. ↓, Al Mutairi B. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Abha won 2.

Abha has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Al Raed is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Abha is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Abha won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Al Raed	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Abha FC
Saudi Division 1
11.01.26	Al-Adalh - Abha	1:2 ✺
05.01.26	Abha - Al-Diriyah	2:1 ✺
31.12.25	Al-Batin - Abha	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Abha - Al-Taee	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Jeddah - Abha	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWT
- Al Raed
Saudi Division 1
13.01.26	Al Raed - Al-Zulfi	1:2 ✺
07.01.26	Al Raed - Al-Ula	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Faisaly - Al Raed	5:3 ✺
26.12.25	Al Raed - Al-Diriyah	2:3 ✺
21.12.25	Al-Orobah - Al Raed	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
29.12.23	Al Raed - Abha	4:3
19.08.23	Abha - Al Raed	1:0
10.02.23	Al Raed - Abha	3:1
27.08.22	Abha - Al Raed	2:1
27.06.22	Al Raed - Abha	1:0
01.01.22	Abha - Al Raed	1:0
22.02.21	Abha - Al Raed	0:3

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