Match Info

Date: 3 April 2022, Sunday


	Académica Coimbra		Casa Pia

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.8
	3.9	3.4	1.77
	2.85	3.3	2.25
	4.2	3.3	1.85
	4.54	3.6	1.86
	4.75	3.3	1.67
	4.4	3.46	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (2.95)	3.38 ↑ (3.18)	1.86 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
22.6%

Draw
27.4%

Casa Pia
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

28.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Académica Coimbra's form might have worsened.

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casa Pia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casa Pia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Académica has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Casa Pia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casa Pia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Académica won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
20.03.22	Nacional - Académica Coimbra	3:1 ✺
11.03.22	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	3:4 ✺
06.03.22	Porto B - Académica Coimbra	3:3 ✺
28.02.22	Académica Coimbra - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Vilafranquense - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLL
- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
20.03.22	Casa Pia - Feirense	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Chaves - Casa Pia	4:1 ✺
08.03.22	Casa Pia - Mafra	3:1 ✺
26.02.22	Covilhã - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Casa Pia - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.11.21	Casa Pia - Académica Coimbra	2:0
18.04.21	Casa Pia - Académica Coimbra	0:3
20.12.20	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	1:1
08.12.19	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	3:1

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