Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Casa Pia		Mafra

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.72	3.35	4.4
	1.73	3.45	4.7
	1.68	3.85	5.5
	1.73	3.2	4.6
	1.71	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)	3.48 ↑ (3.2)	4.63 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casa Pia
53.7%

Draw
26.4%

Mafra
19.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.4%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casa Pia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casa Pia's performance.

Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casa Pia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casa Pia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	8.6%	8.6%

Casa Pia - Mafra Predictions

Users Predictions: Casa Pia will win (48 of 58 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.04% – 92.48%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 9).

Casa Pia in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mafra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Casa Pia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Casa Pia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Casa Pia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.22	Covilhã - Casa Pia	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Casa Pia - Nacional	1:0 ✺
11.02.22	Casa Pia - Trofense	1:0 ✺
04.02.22	Benfica B - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
31.01.22	Casa Pia - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWTW
- CD Mafra
Taça de Portugal
03.03.22	Tondela - Mafra	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
26.02.22	Mafra - Penafiel	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Trofense - Mafra	1:3 ✺
12.02.22	Mafra - Porto B	3:2 ✺
06.02.22	Vilafranquense - Mafra	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.21	Mafra - Casa Pia	1:1
13.04.21	Mafra - Casa Pia	0:4
08.12.20	Casa Pia - Mafra	2:0
14.12.19	Casa Pia - Mafra	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casa Pia
Liga Portugal
30.10.26	Casa Pia - Sporting Lisbon	✺

Casa Pia - Mafra