Match Info
Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 12Date: 3 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra (Coimbra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Portugal | Canal 11 |
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Académica Coimbra |
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Varzim |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.6 |
5.15 |
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 |
1.54 |
3.98 |
6.21 |
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 |
1.61 |
3.75 |
5.49 |
 Watch |
 |
1.53 |
3.6 |
5 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.75 |
5.46 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.6) |
3.68 ↑
(3.59) |
5.35 ↑
(5.16) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Académica Coimbra
58% | Draw
24.9% | Varzim
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+0.2%)Académica Coimbra - Varzim Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Académica will win (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
98.  Alves C. (G)
11.  Farias E.
2. Baixinho M.
3. Teixeira R.
15. Kaka
17. Marcos Paulo
5. Silva L. (C)
6. Montez A.
28. Cascavel
18. Cuba
93.  Souza B.
| 49. Costa P. (G)
71. Filipe L.
32. Rego R.
4. Chicao
31. Talocha
8. Oliveira R. (C)
27. Boloto
45. Rebelo M.
11. Benchi D.
19.  Chamito
17. Sequeira D.
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| Substitutes |
9. Barbosa N.
21. Candeias D.
8. Jesus P.
23.  Karseladze J.
1. Macedo N. (G)
4. Silva G.
20.  Sinisterra J.
7. Tiago Andre
14. Triana C.
| 20. Derick
7.  Gomes A.
14. Graca H.
35.  Gunjo J.
51.  Momo Mbaye (G)
16.  Neumann T.
99. Pedro Clemente
2. Pimenta G.
18. Stitch
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 1 - 0, Cascavel ⚽,
- 60', Benchi D. ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
- 60', Sequeira D. ↓, Gunjo J. ↑,
- 60', Rebelo M. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
- 73', Cuba 🟨,
- 75', Alves C. 🟨,
- 76', Cuba ↓, Triana C. ↑,
- 80', Filipe L. ↓, Pimenta G. ↑,
- 80', Boloto ↓, Neumann T. ↑,
- 83', Baixinho M. 🟨,
- 86', Triana C. 🟨,
- 88', Silva L. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 88', Souza B. ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
- 90+2', Cascavel 🟨,
- 90+2', Farias E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cascavel 🟥,
- 90+6', Neumann T. 🟨,
- 90+8', Marcos Paulo ↓, Silva G. ↑,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Varzim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Académica is the team to beat.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Académica won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.2:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Portuguese Liga 3 | | | 07.03.26 | Varzim - Académica Coimbra | 0:1 | | 19.05.24 | Académica Coimbra - Varzim | 2:3 | | 30.03.24 | Varzim - Académica Coimbra | 0:2 | | Portuguese Liga 2 | | | 22.01.22 | Varzim - Académica Coimbra | 1:0 | | 14.08.21 | Académica Coimbra - Varzim | 1:1 | | 01.03.21 | Académica Coimbra - Varzim | 1:2 | | Taça de Portugal | | | 23.11.20 | Académica Coimbra - Varzim | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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