Match Info

Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Académico de Viseu		Gil Vicente

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.3	1.9
	3.7	3.35	1.98
	3.99	3.37	1.99
	3.64	3.34	2.02	Watch
	3.74	3.48	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.81)	3.37 ↑ (3.2)	1.96 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
24.9%

Draw
27.6%

Gil Vicente
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

29.1%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Académico de Viseu - Gil Vicente Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Varela G. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Andre Clovis ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Andre Clovis ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 1.

Recent performances by Viseu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gil Vicente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Viseu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gil Vicente might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Viseu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.25	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Portalegrense - Académico de Viseu	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
15.09.25	Oliveirense - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Académico de Viseu - Porto B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLWTW
- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
04.10.25	Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora	2:0 ✺
26.09.25	Benfica - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Gil Vicente - Estoril Praia	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Braga - Gil Vicente	0:1 ✺
29.08.25	Gil Vicente - Moreirense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
14.01.21	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	3:2 ET
Portuguese Liga 2
29.04.18	Académico de Viseu - Gil Vicente	1:0
16.12.17	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	0:0
05.02.17	Académico de Viseu - Gil Vicente	1:2
24.08.16	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	0:0
24.04.16	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	1:1
09.12.15	Académico de Viseu - Gil Vicente	1:1

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