Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 4

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Académico de Viseu		Porto

	1	X	2
	9.5	4.75	1.3	Watch
	9.50	5.50	1.29
	9.3	4.55	1.33	Watch
	10.72	5.3	1.34
	9.99	5.35	1.32	Watch
	9.65	5.1	1.33
	10	5.02	1.37	Watch
	9.8	5	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.81 ↑ (9.08)	5.07 ↓ (5.28)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
9.7%

Draw
18.7%

Porto
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

17.8%

71.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

17.2%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Académico de Viseu - Porto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Viseu (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 4.5 - under (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 3 - 75%). Porto (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ewerton (G) 75. Robinho 41. Correia A. 2. Michelis N. 57. Gu Costa 14. Messeguem S. 7. Silva L. (C) 8. Kahraman C. 31. Joao Guilherme 33. Andre Clovis 47. Gohi L.	99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 12. Zaidu 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 10. Veiga G. 7. William Gomes 19. Andre Silva 11. Pepê
Substitutes
29. Babic A. 9. Bouldini M. 6. Ceitil A. 21. Domingos T. 18. Ferreira C. 1. Lavin M. (G) 45. Mestanza A. 22. Mortimer N. 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 12. Soriano J. (G) 10. Zamora A.	14. Claudio Ramos (G) 24. Costa J. (G) 57. Cunha D. 52. Fernandes M. 27. Gul D. 16. Hwang In-Beom 74. Moura F. 18. Perez N. 21. Prpic D. 17. Sainz B. 58. Silva T. 22. Varela A.
Coaches
Pinheiro B.	Farioli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽,
18', Zaidu ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
20', 0 - 2, Veiga G. ⚽, Pepê (A),
38', 0 - 3, William Gomes ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bednarek J. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
58', Gohi L. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
58', Silva L. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
60', Pepê ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
60', William Gomes ↓, Hwang In-Beom ↑,
70', Kahraman C. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
70', Andre Clovis ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
82', Costa A. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
84', Michelis N. ↓, Pedro Barcelos ↑,

Preview

Viseu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Porto is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.

In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Viseu: Silva T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Porto: Claudio Ramos (Injury) Fernandes M. (Muscle Injury) Fofana S. (Inactive) Pietuszewski O. (Muscle Injury) Samu (Knee Injury) Sousa V. (Leg Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Viseu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	8	8	0	0	20:4	16	24
5	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	11:10	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Liga Portugal
22.08.26	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Benfica - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Celta de Vigo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.9 TLTWT
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
23.08.26	Porto - Arouca	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Rio Ave - Porto	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Porto - Alverca	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup
01.08.26	Porto - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Porto - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
08.02.23	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:1
Portuguese League Cup
25.01.23	Porto - Académico de Viseu	3:0
Taça de Portugal
12.02.20	Porto - Académico de Viseu	3:0
04.02.20	Académico de Viseu - Porto	1:1

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