Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Villa TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Porto		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.60	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.30	3.25
	1.94	3.95	3.15	Watch
	1.94	3.77	3.25
	2.53	3.58	2.57	Watch
	1.89	3.65	3.05
	1.98	3.74	3.38	Watch
	1.98	3.60	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.32)	3.65 (3.65)	3.16 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
45.7%

Draw
25.2%

Aston Villa
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	15%	10%

Porto - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.8% – 89.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Claudio Ramos (G) 19. Andre Silva 5. Bednarek J. 8. Froholdt V. 4. Kiwior J. 11. Pepê 13. Rosario P. 22. Varela A. 10. Veiga G. 7. William Gomes 12. Zaidu	40. Bizot M. (G) 31. Bailey L. 6. Barkley R. 26. Bogarde L. 49. Burrowes B. 2. Cash M. 48. Cisse M. 53. Hemmings G. 74. Lynch L. 22. Maatsen I. 5. Mings T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, William Gomes ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Lynch L. ⚽,
23', Bailey L. ↓, Broggio B. ↑,
29', 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Pepê ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barkley R. ↓, Joao Gomes ↑,
46', Cash M. ↓, Nedeljkovic K. ↑,
46', Bizot M. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
69', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
69', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
69', Andre Silva ↓, Gul D. ↑,
72', Mings T. ↓, Carroll T. ↑,
72', Maatsen I. ↓, Rowe T. ↑,
72', Hemmings G. ↓, Jimoh-Aloba J. ↑,
72', Lynch L. ↓, Madjo B. ↑,
78', Varela A. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
79', 🟨,
82', Froholdt V. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
82', Rosario P. ↓, Inbeom ↑,
82', Zaidu ↓, Moura F. ↑,
82', Claudio Ramos ↓, Costa J. ↑,
84', Cisse M. ↓, Fortes R. ↑,
84', Bogarde L. ↓, Borland A. ↑,

Preview

Aston Villa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Porto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Aston Villa - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Club Friendly
22.07.26	Gil Vicente - Porto	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Porto - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	AVS - Porto	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Porto - Alverca	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Estrela da Amadora - Porto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Walsall - Aston Villa	0:5 ✺
English Premier League
24.05.26	Manchester City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
20.05.26	Freiburg - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
15.05.26	Aston Villa - Liverpool	4:2 ✺
10.05.26	Burnley - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWWWT

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