The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Porto 75.1%
Draw 16.3%
Arouca 8.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
78.7%
14.1%
7.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Porto - Arouca Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -2 - Porto (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.75 - Arouca (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Porto will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Arouca (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 12. Zaidu 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 10. Veiga G. 7. William Gomes 19. Andre Silva 11. Pepรช
12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Fontan J. 18. Lebedenko O. 6. van Ee E. 8. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 14. Lee H. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.
Substitutes
50. Afonso J. (G) 59. Andrade T. 24. Costa J. (G) 57. Cunha D. 6. Eustaquio S. 27. Gul D. 16. Hwang In-Beom 74. Moura F. 18. Perez N. 21. Prpic D. 17. Sainz B. 22. Varela A.
37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 21. Flores M. 10. Gozalbez P. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 4. Monteiro D. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 5. Popovic B. 1. Vinarcik J. (G)
Coaches
Farioli F.
Seabra V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Lee H. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
62', Barbero I. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Veiga G. ⚽, William Gomes (A),
72', Andre Silva ↓, Gul D. ↑,
72', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
72', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
76', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
76', Veiga G. ↓, Hwang In-Beom ↑,
83', Hwang In-Beom 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Sainz B. ⚽, Pepรช (A),
88', Tiago Esgaio ↓, Flores M. ↑,
88', Bednarek J. ↓, Perez N. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
Porto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Arouca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Porto: Claudio Ramos
(Injury)
Pietuszewski O.
(Injury)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Arouca: Puche
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Porto: Varela A.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Porto won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 55:11. (average 2.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 29:6. (average 2.9:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
FC Porto
8
8
0
0
20:4
16
24
6
Arouca
7
3
2
2
10:7
3
11
Last Results with these Odds
Porto - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.73%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.