Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Dragão (Porto) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:30	DSports 1, DSports 2
Austria	21:30	Laola1
Brazil	16:30	Disney+
Cyprus	22:30	Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:30	Bold+
Ecuador	14:30	DAZN, DSports 2
France	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	21:30	Laola1
Greece	22:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	21:30	Sport 1
Italy	21:30	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	22:30	Sport 1
Mexico	13:30	Claro Sports
Norway	21:30	VG+
Poland	21:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	20:30	Sport TV1, V+ TVI
Russia	22:30	MATCH! Futbol 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Turkey	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	22:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport
Uruguay	16:30	DAZN, DSports 2, DSports 310
Usa	15:30	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:30	DAZN, DSports 1, DSports 2


	Porto		Arouca

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.25	11	Watch
	1.27	5.50	10.00
	1.23	5.25	12.5	Watch
	1.28	6.31	11.48
	1.25	6.26	11.52	Watch
	1.26	5.7	11
	1.28	6.45	10.9	Watch
	1.27	5.6	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.2)	5.79 ↓ (6.69)	11.03 ↓ (13.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
75.1%

Draw
16.3%

Arouca
8.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.7%

14.1%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Arouca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Porto - Arouca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Porto (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.75 - Arouca (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Porto will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Arouca (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Costa D. (C) 20. Costa A. 5. Bednarek J. 4. Kiwior J. 12. Zaidu 8. Froholdt V. 13. Rosario P. 10. Veiga G. 7. William Gomes 19. Andre Silva 11. Pepê	12. De Arruabarrena I. (G) 28. Tiago Esgaio (C) 15. Sanchez J. 3. Fontan J. 18. Lebedenko O. 6. van Ee E. 8. Fukui T. 19. Trezza A. 14. Lee H. 7. Djouahra N. 17. Barbero I.
Substitutes
50. Afonso J. (G) 59. Andrade T. 24. Costa J. (G) 57. Cunha D. 6. Eustaquio S. 27. Gul D. 16. Hwang In-Beom 74. Moura F. 18. Perez N. 21. Prpic D. 17. Sainz B. 22. Varela A.	37. Climent M. 71. Duarte M. (G) 21. Flores M. 10. Gozalbez P. 24. Mansilla B. 9. Mayulu F. 4. Monteiro D. 23. Nandin D. 77. Park S. 89. Pedro Santos 5. Popovic B. 1. Vinarcik J. (G)
Coaches
Farioli F.	Seabra V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', Lee H. ↓, Gozalbez P. ↑,
62', Barbero I. ↓, Nandin D. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Veiga G. ⚽, William Gomes (A),
72', Andre Silva ↓, Gul D. ↑,
72', van Ee E. ↓, Pedro Santos ↑,
72', Trezza A. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
76', William Gomes ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
76', Veiga G. ↓, Hwang In-Beom ↑,
83', Hwang In-Beom 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Sainz B. ⚽, Pepê (A),
88', Tiago Esgaio ↓, Flores M. ↑,
88', Bednarek J. ↓, Perez N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.

Porto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arouca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Porto is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Porto: Claudio Ramos (Injury) Pietuszewski O. (Injury) Samu (Knee Injury) Sousa V. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Arouca: Puche (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Porto: Varela A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Porto won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 55:11. (average 2.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 29:6. (average 2.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	9	9	0	0	21:4	17	27
5	Arouca	9	5	2	2	12:7	5	17

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

FC Porto: 55.07% Arouca: 0.64%

Last Results with these Odds

Porto - the odds 1.2 are the expected chance of winning is 78.73%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
15.08.26	Rio Ave - Porto	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Porto - Alverca	2:0 ✺
Portuguese Super Cup
01.08.26	Porto - Torreense	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Porto - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Gil Vicente - Porto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL
- FC Arouca
Liga Portugal
16.08.26	Arouca - Moreirense	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Santa Clara - Arouca	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Arouca - Tondela	3:1 ✺
11.05.26	Gil Vicente - Arouca	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
27.02.26	Porto - Arouca	3:1
29.09.25	Arouca - Porto	0:4
01.03.25	Arouca - Porto	0:2
29.09.24	Porto - Arouca	4:0
12.02.24	Arouca - Porto	3:2
03.09.23	Porto - Arouca	1:1
08.05.23	Arouca - Porto	0:1

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