The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Puerto Cabello 54.4%
Draw 26.3%
Caracas 19.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
26.4%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
24.8%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Caracas aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Caracas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Romero L. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. 14. Bortagaray G. 16. Rosales R. 77. Isah M. 20. Marchan J. 24. Contreras H. (C) 15. Saggiomo D. 11. Pernia E. 19. Castillo J.
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 8. Gudino I. 15. Larotonda C. 22. Figueroa A. 33. Correa W. 10. Covea M. 39. Villarreal A.
Substitutes
32. Camacho J. 30. Casiani L. 41. Cova L. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 1. Graterol J. (G) 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 17. Martinez J. 36. Mendoza J. 8. Moreno J. 28. Osorio D. 9. Ponce A.
38. Barrios E. 27. Gonzalez S. 30. Herrera A. 35. Lezama R. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 17. Reinoso L. 37. Vegas C. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
Coaches
Sarago E.
Sanvicente N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Vargas J. 🟥,
45+1', Gudino I. 🟨,
45+3', Correa W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Marchan J. ↓, Casiani L. ↑,
46', Covea M. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
62', Figueroa A. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
62', Correa W. ↓, Vegas C. ↑,
62', Fereira Penaranda E. E. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
65', Pernia E. ↓, Osorio D. ↑,
72', Gudino I. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
74', Saggiomo D. ↓, Flores Barrios R. D. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽, Vegas M. (A),
79', Rosales R. 🟨,
80', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
83', Rosales R. ↓, Linares H. ↑,
83', Isah M. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
90+6', Bortagaray G. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 1.
Puerto Cabello arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Caracas has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Caracas may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Puerto Cabello carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Puerto Cabello in today's match, at odds of 1.78.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Cabello has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:16 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Cabello against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.3 per game).
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Romero L. (G) 
Ramos J. 
Bortagaray G. 
Isah M. 
Villarreal A. 
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