Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)

Referee: Benitez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus


	Academia Puerto Cabello		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	1.98	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.06	3.31	3.88
	1.95	3.44	4.01	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.6
	2.1	3.25	3.71	Watch
	2.44	3.2	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.44)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	3.64 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academia Puerto Cabello
45.2%

Draw
28.9%

Cienciano
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

29.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.5%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Academia Puerto Cabello's performance.

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cienciano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Academia Puerto Cabello that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Academia Puerto Cabello - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cienciano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Puerto Cabello (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Graterol J. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. (C) 63. Obradovic S. 16. Rosales R. 5. Gonzalez G. 47. Bamba G. 8. Moreno J. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 9. Ponce A. 19. Castillo J.	31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 13. Nunez C. 4. Amondarain M. 26. Aguilar R. 16. Martinich M. 88. Barreto G. 29. Robles A. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. 11. Bandiera N. 21. Garces C. (C)
Substitutes
7. Barros J. 14. Bortagaray G. 30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 31. Hernandez J. 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 20. Marchan J. 17. Martinez J. 44. Melendez G. 11. Pernia E. 55. Romero L. (G)	8. Aguirre G. 3. Becerra K. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 99. Colunga N. 1. Falcon G. (G) 37. Rojas A. 9. Romagnoli J. 30. Roncal J. (G) 17. Sandoval R. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.
Coaches
Sarago E.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Gonzalez G. ⚽, Castillo J. (A),
45+1', Bamba G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 0, Flores Barrios R. D. ⚽, Gonzalez G. (A),
60', Martinich M. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Castillo J. ⚽, Flores Barrios R. D. (A),
66', Barreto G. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
66', Bandiera N. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
71', Ponce A. ↓, Pernia E. ↑,
71', Castillo J. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
80', Bamba G. ↓, Lima P. ↑,
80', Robles A. ↓, Cavero S. ↑,
80', Hohberg A. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
84', Lima P. 🟨,
86', Nunez C. 🟨,
88', Flores Barrios R. D. ↓, Linares H. ↑,
88', Gonzalez G. ↓, Melendez G. ↑,
90+7', Garces C. 🟨,

Preview

Puerto Cabello has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cienciano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Puerto Cabello might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
02.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo La Guaira	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Academia Puerto Cabello	4:0 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.04.26	Monagas - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Trujillanos	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Cienciano - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTWL
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.26	Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
23.04.26	Los Chankas - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Cienciano - Moquegua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
16.04.26	Cienciano - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:0

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