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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Guaira 51.3%
Draw 28%
Universidad Central 20.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
25.5%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
24.4%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Universidad Central has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Guaira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Varela C. (C) 33. Hernandez N. 24. Ortiz G. 2. Rojas C. 39. Orihuela M. 10. Castellanos J. 27. Correa J. 7. Meza J. 15. Gonzalez M. 22. Sulbaran M. 36. Londono F.
22. Romo R. (G) 2. Silva K. (C) 13. Peraza E. 6. Mottes G. 24. Cumana Y. 30. Gonzalez A. 21. Rodriguez V. 7. Mosquera E. 16. De Sousa D. 42. Araujo J. 8. Zapata J.
Substitutes
37. Gonzalez M. 43. Martinez J. 16. Martinez L. 49. Pena M. 8. Perdomo J. 12. Sanchez J. (G) 9. Uribe A. 67. Vargas G. 46. Vegas S. 28. Villero M. 30. Zeballos S.
9. Alegria J. 14. Diaz C. 32. Flores C. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 11. Lugo W. 3. Pabon Delgao S. J. 28. Ruiz M. 15. Salazar A. 18. Sarli R. 1. Schiavone G. (G) 4. Velasquez W.
Coaches
Bidoglio H.
Sasso D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Ortiz G. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, De Sousa D. ⚽,
40', Velasquez W. 🟨,
45+3', Rojas C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Peraza E. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
54', Meza J. ↓, Uribe A. ↑,
55', Gonzalez M. ↓, Zeballos S. ↑,
55', Hernandez N. ↓, Martinez L. ↑,
63', Araujo J. ↓, Lugo W. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Lugo W. ⚽, De Sousa D. (A),
70', Correa J. ↓, Perdomo J. ↑,
71', Ruiz M. 🟨,
84', Orihuela M. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
86', Zapata J. ↓, Alegria J. ↑,
87', Mosquera E. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
90+2', De Sousa D. ↓, Pabon Delgao S. J. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 1.
Deportivo La Guaira is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Universidad Central has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Deportivo La Guaira is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo La Guaira won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).