Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Tábua (Tábua)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Oliveira Hospital		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.35	3.2	2.04
	3.69	3.3	2.04
	3.45	3.28	2.12	Watch
	3.35	3.16	2.07
	3.35	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.57)	3.21 ↑ (3.13)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
26.7%

Draw
28.5%

Académica Coimbra
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

29.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

29.3%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Andre Paulo (G) 3. Simao A. 30. Vinhas D. 28. Nascimento D. 23. Io S. 8. David Bras (C) 16. Geovanny 19. Michel 11. Neiva G. 9. Gracio D. 55. Silva T.	1. Antonio Filipe (G) 22. Xico 13. Serra A. 54. Ni 80. Elvis 4. Obiora N. (C) 5. Silva L. 23. Saint-Louis J. 8. Carvalho D. 77. Ba-Sy A. 9. Morais G.
Substitutes
12. Fajardo R. 71. Fernandes L. (G) 15. Manoel Atanasio 38. Oliveira M. 44. Pablo Veloso 76. Santos J. 18. Souza E. 21. Urco 7. Varela A.	11. Ferreira G. 25. Freitas R. 17. Hachadi K. 10. Lucas Henrique 6. Montez A. 21. Pereira F. 91. Santos B. (G) 3. Teixeira R. 90. Vitor Bruno

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Obiora N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Elvis ↓, Vitor Bruno ↑,
46', Obiora N. ↓, Lucas Henrique ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Gracio D. ⚽,
61', Io S. ↓, Oliveira M. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Neiva G. ⚽,
65', Carvalho D. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
65', Morais G. ↓, Hachadi K. ↑,
68', Geovanny 🟨,
69', Neiva G. ↓, Souza E. ↑,
74', Souza E. 🟨,
80', Saint-Louis J. ↓, Ferreira G. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Ferreira G. ⚽,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', Gracio D. ↓, Varela A. ↑,
85', Geovanny ↓, Fajardo R. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Ni ⚽,
90+4', Andre Paulo 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', Varela A. 🟨,
90+6', Hachadi K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Oliveira Hospital could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Académica will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveira Hospital won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
09.03.25	Oliveira Hospital - Caldas	3:0 ✺
02.03.25	União de Santarém - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético CP - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTTL
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.25	SC Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Académica Coimbra - Caldas	1:2 ✺
15.02.25	União de Santarém - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Belenenses - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
30.11.24	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	2:2
18.08.24	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	1:1
09.12.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	3:2
Portuguese Liga 3
27.08.23	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	1:1
05.03.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	1:0
26.11.22	Oliveira Hospital - Académica Coimbra	2:2

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