Match Info

Date: 20 September 2021, Monday


	Académica Coimbra		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	5.5
	1.63	3.7	4.8
	1.57	3.6	5.2
	1.64	3.55	5.2
	1.67	3.8	5.7
	1.63	3.5	5.5
	1.64	3.72	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	5.29 ↓ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
57%

Draw
25.5%

Vilafranquense
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

25.8%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.6%

21.4%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vilafranquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Académica Coimbra - Vilafranquense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Vilafranquense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Académica is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Académica won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
16.09.21	Académica Coimbra - Estrela da Amadora	2:2 ✺
11.09.21	Feirense - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
22.08.21	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Académica Coimbra - Varzim	1:1 ✺
08.08.21	Rio Ave - Académica Coimbra	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLTL
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
12.09.21	Vilafranquense - Chaves	1:1 ✺
30.08.21	Mafra - Vilafranquense	1:0 ✺
23.08.21	Vilafranquense - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
15.08.21	Nacional - Vilafranquense	4:0 ✺
09.08.21	Vilafranquense - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
19.05.21	Académica Coimbra - Vilafranquense	2:2
28.03.21	Académica Coimbra - Vilafranquense	0:0
08.11.20	Vilafranquense - Académica Coimbra	0:0
30.11.19	Vilafranquense - Académica Coimbra	3:2

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