Match Info

Date: 16 September 2021, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Académica Coimbra		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.1	2.95	3.45
	2.12	3.05	3.6
	2.23	3.13	3.77
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.12	3.22	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.89)	3.11 ↓ (3.34)	3.47 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
43.4%

Draw
29.9%

Estrela da Amadora
26.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

18.2%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Académica Coimbra's form might have worsened.

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académica Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela da Amadora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Académica Coimbra - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Académica will win (votes: 12 - 50%). Estrela will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Académica: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Académica has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estrela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Académica have a series of guest games.

Recently Estrela have a series of home games.

Académica will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.21	Feirense - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
22.08.21	Leixões - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
14.08.21	Académica Coimbra - Varzim	1:1 ✺
08.08.21	Rio Ave - Académica Coimbra	5:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
23.07.21	Portimonense - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Estrela da Amadora
Portuguese Liga 2
10.09.21	Estrela da Amadora - Rio Ave	2:5 ✺
21.08.21	Estrela da Amadora - Farense	3:1 ✺
13.08.21	Trofense - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
08.08.21	Estrela da Amadora - Mafra	0:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
01.08.21	Estrela da Amadora - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.26	Vizela - Académica Coimbra	✺
- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
31.10.26	Moreirense - Estrela da Amadora	✺

Académica Coimbra - Estrela da Amadora