Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Académico de Viseu		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.30	2.05	Watch
	3.60	3.20	2.05
	3.55	3.25	2.08	Watch
	3.86	3.29	2.16
	3.85	3.35	2.02	Watch
	3.80	3.25	2.09
	3.58	3.38	2.15	Watch
	3.55	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.2)	3.28 ↓ (3.35)	2.09 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
25.8%

Draw
28.8%

Vitoria Guimarães
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

28.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Académico de Viseu - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Viseu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Guimarães will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Guimarães (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Viseu (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Viseu (votes: 1 - 50%). Guimarães (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Ewerton (G) 75. Robinho 41. Correia A. 2. Michelis N. 57. Gu Costa 7. Silva L. (C) 31. Joao Guilherme 14. Messeguem S. 8. Kahraman C. 47. Gohi L. 33. Andre Clovis	48. Zych O. (G) 23. Strata T. 28. Thiago Balieiro 5. Sidibe A. 13. Mendes J. 16. Mukendi B. 44. Doucet L. 11. Gustavo 20. Samu (C) 7. Camara O. 9. Jakupovic A.
Substitutes
9. Bouldini M. 3. Brau M. 6. Ceitil A. 21. Domingos T. 18. Ferreira C. 1. Lavin M. (G) 45. Mestanza A. 22. Mortimer N. 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 17. Valery 10. Zamora A.	10. Alanzinho 19. Andersson V. 21. Borevkovic T. 22. Castillo J. (G) 82. Dias F. 2. Maga 24. Ndoye A. 8. Nogueira G. 17. Nogueira M. 29. Ouotro P. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 56. Verdi S.
Coaches
Pinheiro B.	Margarido T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Doucet L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Doucet L. ↓, Nogueira G. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Gohi L. ⚽,
60', Mukendi B. ↓, Alanzinho ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Nogueira G. ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
68', Kahraman C. ↓, Mestanza A. ↑,
68', Gohi L. ↓, Mortimer N. ↑,
75', Jakupovic A. 🟨,
76', Andre Clovis 🟨,
77', Jakupovic A. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
77', Camara O. ↓, Nogueira M. ↑,
80', Mestanza A. 🟨,
84', Sidibe A. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
86', Silva L. 🟨,
88', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
90', Robinho ↓, Domingos T. ↑,
90', Andre Clovis ↓, Bouldini M. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Bouldini M. ⚽,
90+4', Gu Costa ↓, Pedro Barcelos ↑,
90+5', Ndoye A. 🟥,
90+5', Mortimer N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Viseu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guimarães is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guimarães will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Guimarães: Gui (Injury)

There are questionable in Viseu: Silva T. (Inactive)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Academico Viseu	8	4	2	2	11:10	1	14
14	Vitoria Guimaraes	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Liga Portugal
06.09.26	Gil Vicente - Académico de Viseu	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Porto	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Marítimo - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Académico de Viseu - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Benfica - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.4 WLTLT
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
06.09.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Braga - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Nacional	1:0 ✺
14.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Arouca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLWLL

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