Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: La Quema Stadium (Boulogne Sur Mer)


	Acassuso		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.82	3.25
	2.40	2.95	3.15
	2.50	2.98	3.26
	2.29	2.89	3.57	Watch
	2.40	2.95	3.15
	2.32	2.90	3.43
	2.21	2.80	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
39.7%

Draw
32.2%

Ciudad de Bolívar
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

31.3%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Acassuso - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Luque J. (G) 4. Borges S. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Pioli L. 3. Ruiz A. 8. Dubini K. (C) 5. Petillo N. 7. Acosta N. 11. Senn F. 10. Reynoso R. 9. Escalante D.	1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Navarro E. 6. Martinez E. 3. Peralta F. 7. Mucignat F. 10. Gonzalez A. (C) 5. Diaz A. 8. Yeri N. 9. Sanchez G. 11. Gutierrez M.
Substitutes
12. Bogace S. (G) 18. de Estefano D. 15. Etcheverri R. 13. Ghiraldello J. 19. Gonzalez A. 14. Ponce J. 16. Raccio J. 20. Rey L. 17. Sena F.	12. Alvarez E. (G) 13. Carrion A. 16. Diaz A. 14. Fernandez T. 15. Gridel M. 17. Guiacobini T. 19. Ilarregui F. 20. Maciel J. 18. Quintana B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Martinez E. 🟨,
45', Escalante D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Sanchez G. (Penalty Awarded),
53', Navarro E. ↓, Carrion A. ↑,
61', Acosta N. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
61', Dubini K. ↓, de Estefano D. ↑,
61', Senn F. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
71', Gonzalez A. ↓, Maciel J. ↑,
71', Sanchez G. ↓, Quintana B. ↑,
71', Mucignat F. ↓, Gridel M. ↑,
73', Maciel J. 🟨,
80', Bellatti S. D. N. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
83', Petillo N. ↓, Sena F. ↑,
85', Quintana B. 🟨,
88', Gutierrez M. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 8th in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Acassuso is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Acassuso has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Acassuso - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.82%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Ciudad de Bolívar - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.43%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.26	Almirante Brown - Acassuso	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Acassuso - Mitre	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Estudiantes de Caseros - Acassuso	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Acassuso - All Boys	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Los Andes - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.6 WWLLT
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.09.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Chaco For Ever	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.05.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Acassuso	1:0

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