The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almirante Brown 51.9%
Draw 29.9%
Acassuso 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
27.8%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
26.6%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almirante Brown's form might have worsened.
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almirante Brown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Almirante Brown - Acassuso Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almirante Brown (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Cardozo E. 2. Levi M. 6. Cabral G. (C) 3. Alegre Rojas G. 5. Jara L. 8. Villoldo T. 7. Gauna S. 11. Martinez E. 10. Santiago M. 9. Zanotti M.
1. Monllor M. (G) 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 3. Ruiz A. 6. Dordoni B. 4. Borges S. 7. Reynoso R. 5. Petillo N. 8. Dubini K. (C) 11. Rodriguez T. 10. Hermoso A. 9. Escalante D.
Substitutes
14. Abreliano M. 16. Altamirano G. 12. Bottini A. (G) 17. Flores G. 20. Gonzalez R. 19. Lopez J. 18. Pascual L. 15. Velazquez J. 13. Velurtas P.
18. De Stefano D. 12. Luque J. (G) 13. Pioli L. 14. Ponce J. 16. Raccio J. 15. Roberts D. 19. Romero L. 20. Senn F. 17. Serrano V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Dordoni B. ↓, Pioli L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Santiago M. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
54', Jara L. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Escalante D. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Jara L. ↓, Pascual L. ↑,
64', Zanotti M. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
66', Cardozo E. 🟨,
67', Rodriguez T. 🟥,
69', Alegre Rojas G. ↓, Abreliano M. ↑,
73', Borges S. 🟨,
77', Reynoso R. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
77', Escalante D. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
80', Cardozo E. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
84', Hermoso A. 🟨,
84', Dubini K. ↓, de Estefano D. ↑,
84', Hermoso A. ↓, Serrano V. ↑,
86', Monllor M. 🟨,
88', Serrano V. 🟨,
90+6', Flores G. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 18th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Almirante Brown carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 0.5:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almirante Brown against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).