Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 21 November 2023, Tuesday


	Accrington Stanley		Nottingham Forest U21

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.7
	2.2	3.6	2.85
	2.23	3.9	2.84
	2.23	3.9	2.84
	1.8	3.9	3.2
	2.09	3.82	2.93
	2.08	3.7	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.81)	3.76 ↓ (3.9)	2.9 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
43.8%

Draw
24.5%

Nottingham Forest U21
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

22.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

23.2%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.

Nottingham Forest U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest U21 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Accrington Stanley - Nottingham Forest U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. McIntyre J. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 25. Pickles A. 16. Gubbins J. 2. Shipley L. 20. Patrick O. 22. Martin D. (C) 39. Woods J. 8. Woods B. 17. Nolan J. 55. Adedoyin K.	63. Bott A. (G) 64. Hammond B. 56. Abbott Z. 65. Hanks J. 71. McAdam K. 68. Thompson J. 59. Perry B. 55. Powell J. (C) 91. Perkins J. 57. Larsson J. 48. Konate A.
Substitutes
26. Adekoya L. 31. Devonport O. 15. Fernandes B. 30. Henderson A. 5. Hills B. 41. Riva O. (G) 23. Sloane B.	92. Brandy T. 62. Brook W. (G) 54. Clarridge J. 73. Gbopo T. 58. Johnson P. 66. Nadin J. 69. Norkett M.
Coaches
Coleman J.	Joyce W.

Preview

Accrington is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nottingham U21 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nottingham U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Accrington will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
18.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Doncaster Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLTL
- Nottingham Forest U21
English Premier League Cup
11.11.23	Newcastle United U21 - Nottingham Forest U21	0:3 ✺
English Premier League 2
03.11.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	2:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
25.10.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Nice II	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Carlisle United - Nottingham Forest U21	0:2 ✺
English Premier League Cup
06.10.23	Nottingham Forest U21 - Huddersfield Town U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WTWWT

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