Match Info

League Two - Round 17

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)


	Crawley Town		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.2	Watch
	2.06	3.52	3.4
	2.04	3.61	3.23	Watch
	2.14	3.48	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.04)	3.53 ↓ (3.61)	3.24 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
44.8%

Draw
26.4%

Accrington Stanley
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

25.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

25.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

The chances for Accrington Stanley have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 4. Bajrami G. 28. Flint J. 22. Adeyemo A. 26. Williams J. (C) 27. Watson L. 10. Brown R. 7. Forster H. 14. Flower L. 13. McKirdy H.	13. Wright O. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 17. Matthews D. 14. Ward B. 2. Love D. 4. Grant C. 6. Coyle L. 30. Heath I. 7. Whalley S. (C) 11. Sinclair I. 8. Madden P.
Substitutes
1. Davies H. (G) 24. Dixon K. 20. Mukena J. 56. Robertson J. 11. Roles J. 9. Tshimanga K.	16. Bauress J. 18. Caton C. 28. Conneely S. 10. Henderson A. 1. Kelly M. (G) 25. Smith J. 39. Woods J.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Whalley S. 🟨,
20', Flower L. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Heath I. ⚽, Sinclair I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', McKirdy H. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
56', Brown R. ↓, Roles J. ↑,
60', Whalley S. ↓, Caton C. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Bajrami G. (A),
70', Madden P. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
71', Grant C. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
71', Sinclair I. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
74', Flower L. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
82', Henderson A. 🟨,
88', Forster H. 🟨,
90+4', Barker C. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 20 and 18)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4.

In recent matches, Crawley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Accrington is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Crawley could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Accrington: Hall C. (Inactive) Mooney K. (Inactive) Sass F. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crawley: Cashman D. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury) McKirdy H. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Accrington: Walton T. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Crawley Town - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.52%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Accrington Stanley - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.75%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
15.11.25	Gillingham - Crawley Town	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Crawley Town - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Crawley Town - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Boreham Wood - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
25.10.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWLW
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
15.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
11.11.25	Accrington Stanley - Leeds United U21	3:2 ✺
English League Two
08.11.25	Chesterfield - Accrington Stanley	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
28.10.25	Accrington Stanley - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.02.24	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	0:1
11.11.23	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	3:1
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	1:4
English League Two
27.01.18	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	2:1
23.12.17	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	2:3
17.04.17	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	1:0
22.10.16	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	0:0

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