Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 18

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Accrington Stanley		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.1	4	2.1
	3.2	3.7	2.05
	3.25	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.32	3.93	2.12
	3.32	3.93	2.09
	3.1	3.7	2.05
	3.28	3.78	2.03	Watch
	3	3.7	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.05)	3.81 ↑ (3.7)	2.07 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Accrington Stanley
29.6%

Draw
24.8%

Wrexham
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

25.1%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

24.8%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Accrington Stanley - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McCracken J. (G) 2. Shipley L. 5. Hills B. 3. Rich-Baghuelou J. 14. Longelo-Mbule R. 28. Conneely S. (C) 8. Woods B. 9. Lowe M. 18. Leigh T. 17. Nolan J. 55. Adedoyin K.	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 14. Forde A. 5. Hayden A. 4. Tozer B. (C) 22. O'Connor T. 7. Davies J. 30. Jones J. 12. Evans G. 38. Lee E. 18. Dalby S. 10. Mullin P.
Substitutes
19. Andrews J. 16. Gubbins J. 22. Martin D. 61. McIntyre J. (G) 4. Mellor K. 25. Pickles A. 39. Woods J.	27. Bickerstaff J. 25. Boyle W. 20. Cannon A. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. McAlinden L. 9. Palmer O. 8. Young L.
Coaches
Coleman J.	Parkinson P.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Accrington is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Accrington Stanley
English FA Cup
14.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Doncaster Rovers	1:2 ET ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Crawley Town - Accrington Stanley	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Doncaster Rovers - Accrington Stanley	2:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Accrington Stanley - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	AFC Wimbledon - Accrington Stanley	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
11.11.23	Wrexham - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Wrexham - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Notts County - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Wrexham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

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