Match Info

League Two - Round 6

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The Hive Stadium (London)

Referee: Hair N. (Eng)


	Barnet		Accrington Stanley

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.00	5.75	Watch
	1.53	4.33	5.25
	1.45	4.20	5.60	Watch
	1.56	4.32	5.71
	1.45	4.6	6.1	Watch
	1.54	4.20	5.60
	1.55	4.00	5.75	Watch
	1.51	4.30	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.58)	4.24 ↑ (4.12)	5.65 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnet
61.6%

Draw
21.9%

Accrington Stanley
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

22.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Barnet - Accrington Stanley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cox M. (C) 4. Collinge D. 5. Senior A. 6. Williams Z. 7. Knowles T. 22. Gallagher O. 10. Ofoborh N. 14. Comley B. 8. Lakin C. 11. Kanu I. 20. Tshimanga K.	1. Moulden L. (G) 17. Matthews D. 33. Tutonda D. 22. Anderson J. 38. O'Brien C. 6. Coyle L. 16. Borland A. 39. Woods J. 7. Whalley S. (C) 23. Walton T. 18. Caton C.
Substitutes
17. Ajayi D. 3. Crichlow R. 9. Maskell J. 32. Noel-Williams I. 23. Reeves J. 12. Wright W.	27. Catesby J. 28. Conneely S. 10. Henderson A. 14. Mols S. 21. Rogerson J. (G) 13. Stockton C. 30. Warren C.
Coaches
Brennan D.	Doolan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Walton T. 🟨,
16', Woods J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Caton C. ⚽,
29', Anderson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Caton C. ↓, Henderson A. ↑,
46', Ofoborh N. ↓, Ajayi D. ↑,
55', Matthews D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Lakin C. ⚽, Senior A. (A),
63', Knowles T. ↓, Crichlow R. ↑,
63', Gallagher O. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
64', Walton T. ↓, Warren C. ↑,
64', Whalley S. ↓, Catesby J. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Lakin C. ⚽,
74', Matthews D. 🟨,
76', Borland A. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
76', Woods J. ↓, Stockton C. ↑,
81', O'Brien C. 🟨,
88', Kanu I. ↓, Noel-Williams I. ↑,
88', Tshimanga K. ↓, Maskell J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2.

Barnet is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Accrington has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Barnet is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Accrington: Mooney K. (Knee Injury) Sinclair I. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barnet: Smith K. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Accrington: Moore T. (Inactive)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18
15	Accrington	10	2	5	3	13:14	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Barnet - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.84%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnet
English League Two
05.09.26	Chesterfield - Barnet	3:3 ✺
01.09.26	Exeter City - Barnet	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.08.26	Barnet - Arsenal U21	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTWW
- Accrington Stanley
English League Two
05.09.26	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Accrington Stanley - Grimsby Town	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Walsall - Accrington Stanley	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Exeter City - Accrington Stanley	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Accrington Stanley - Colchester United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.02.26	Accrington Stanley - Barnet	0:1
04.10.25	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	2:0
English FA Cup
26.11.22	Accrington Stanley - Barnet	1:0
English League Two
17.02.18	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	1:1
28.10.17	Accrington Stanley - Barnet	4:1
04.03.17	Accrington Stanley - Barnet	1:0
13.08.16	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	2:0

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