Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 12

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Acerrana		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.6	1.62
	4.41	3.59	1.70	Watch
	4.73	3.6	1.64
	4.6	3.65	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↓ (5.04)	3.61 ↓ (3.65)	1.66 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acerrana
20%

Draw
25.2%

Fidelis Andria
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

25.1%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

24.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acerrana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acerrana than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Acerrana - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Tagliarino V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Acerrana is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fidelis Andria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Fidelis Andria is the team to beat.

We predict that Fidelis Andria will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acerrana 1926
Italian Serie D - Group H
09.11.25	Virtus Francavilla - Acerrana	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Nardo - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Acerrana - Afragolese	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	Nola - Acerrana	4:0 ✺
12.10.25	Acerrana - Heraclea	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie D - Group H
09.11.25	Fidelis Andria - Afragolese	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Heraclea - Fidelis Andria	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nardo	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Città di Fasano - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
12.10.25	Fidelis Andria - Nola	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLW

Acerrana - Fidelis Andria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide