Match Info

Premier League - Round 33

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday


	Adama City		Welwalo Adigrat

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.6	2.8
	2.68	2.62	2.78
	2.87	2.51	2.99
	2.95	2.34	3.11	Watch
	2.63	2.5	2.8
	2.71	2.5	2.92	Watch
	2.38	2.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.38)	2.52 ↓ (2.6)	2.95 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
33.6%

Draw
35.8%

Welwalo Adigrat
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

34.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

35.6%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adama City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	85.7%	0%

Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Adama City will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 15)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 2.

Adama City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Welwalo Adigrat is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Adama City - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
16.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Adama City	3:1 ✺
09.05.26	Adama City - Shire Endaselassie	4:0 ✺
04.05.26	Mechal - Adama City	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Adama City - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Saint George - Adama City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTTL
- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
16.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethio Electric	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	2:4 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
23.04.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City	1:1
30.04.25	Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1
05.01.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City	0:3
16.02.20	Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:0
01.06.19	Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City	1:1
23.01.19	Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
28.01.18	Adama City - Welwalo Adigrat	3:0

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