Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Adama City		Shire Endaselassie

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.45
	2.14	2.98	3.46
	1.01	13.23	25.00	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.5
	2.12	2.93	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.34)	4.93 ↑ (2.9)	7.77 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
61.2%

Draw
23.7%

Shire Endaselassie
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

31.6%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.4%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adama City's performance.

Shire Endaselassie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shire Endaselassie might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-21.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adama City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shire Endaselassie than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shire Endaselassie could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Adama City - Shire Endaselassie Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Adama City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Sherefa H. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Aitken B. ⚽,
40', Tsegaab Y. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 3 - 0, ⚽,
63', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Adama City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Adama City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Shire Endaselassie - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.13%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
04.05.26	Mechal - Adama City	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Adama City - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Saint George - Adama City	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTLLL
- Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopian Premier League
05.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethio Electric	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Shire Endaselassie	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Welayta Dicha	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Hawassa City - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Dire Dawa City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1
08.06.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	2:4
28.12.19	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	1:1
31.03.19	Adama City - Shire Endaselassie	4:1

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