Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 25

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Gunduz Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Adanaspor		Umraniyespor

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
				Watch
	2.61	3.38	2.7
				Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.77)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	2.55 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adanaspor
35.5%

Draw
28.6%

Umraniyespor
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.8%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

27.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Adanaspor - Umraniyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Adanaspor will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aslan N. (G) 12. Donkor I. 22. Kurucuk F. 5. Hatipoglu H. 99. Matur O. 14. Innocent B. 9. Candeias D. 6. Cihan M. 26. Yildirim M. 21. Ivan A. 16. Cikalleshi S.	35. Topaloglu C. (G) 97. Cavare D. 44. Glumac T. 53. Oksuz B. 4. Eser M. 8. Goksu S. 5. Hoti E. 23. Apaydin F. 10. Bardhi J. 9. Yildirim P. 77. Benny
Substitutes
23. Alpsoy H. 17. Altunbas M. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 10. Cekici E. 87. Celikay K. (G) 11. Cinar O. 20. Ciss A. 97. Durmaz E. 64. Guzelbay C. 24. Sadiku L.	1. Adiyaman U. (G) 20. Babacan A. 19. Celik B. 22. Ekincier B. 17. Gunes M. 93. Joao L. 75. Kaplan E. 30. Sas Y. D. 16. Sertkaya Y. 99. Yildirim O. (G)
Coaches
Keles H.	Bolukbasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Apaydin F. 🟥,
37', Benny 🟨,
37', Goksu S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Yildirim P. ⚽, Bardhi J. (A),
53', Innocent B. 🟨,
56', Innocent B. ↓, Cekici E. ↑,
56', Kurucuk F. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
66', Hoti E. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
67', Yildirim P. 🟨,
68', Cihan M. ↓, Alpsoy H. ↑,
69', Ivan A. ↓, Altunbas M. ↑,
78', Bardhi J. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
78', Matur O. ↓, Can Esendemir Y. ↑,
79', Yildirim P. ↓, Joao L. ↑,
79', Oksuz B. ↓, Kaplan E. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Altunbas M. ⚽,
90+2', Benny ↓, Celik B. ↑,
90+5', Hatipoglu H. 🟨,
90+5', Joao L. 🟨,
90+6', Yildirim M. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1.

Adanaspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Umraniyespor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Soukou C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Kocaturk Y. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 9:21 (average 0.7:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
12.02.25	Keçiörengücü - Adanaspor	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Adanaspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Pendikspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Adanaspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Erokspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLTL
- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
13.02.25	Umraniyespor - İstanbulspor	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Umraniyespor - Ankaragücü	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Umraniyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Çorum - Umraniyespor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
22.09.24	Umraniyespor - Adanaspor	5:2
17.03.24	Umraniyespor - Adanaspor	2:0
29.10.23	Adanaspor - Umraniyespor	1:0
17.02.22	Umraniyespor - Adanaspor	2:1
19.09.21	Adanaspor - Umraniyespor	0:0
25.04.21	Adanaspor - Umraniyespor	0:2
20.12.20	Umraniyespor - Adanaspor	1:0

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