Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Yeni Adana Stadyumu (Adana)

Referee: Avci I. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii


	Adanaspor		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.4	3.4	2.85
	2.41	3.44	2.9
	2.41	3.34	2.85	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.38	3.26	2.76
	2.4	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (3)	3.29 ↓ (3.35)	2.79 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adanaspor
38.7%

Draw
28.1%

Manisa FK
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

27.9%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

27.5%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adanaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adanaspor's performance.

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manisa FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adanaspor than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adanaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manisa FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adanaspor - Manisa FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Aslan N. (G) 22. Kurucuk F. (C) 12. Donkor I. 5. Hatipoglu H. 35. Can Esendemir Y. 14. Innocent B. 23. Alpsoy H. 9. Candeias D. 6. Cihan M. 21. Ivan A. 16. Cikalleshi S.	1. Uysal A. (G) 15. Arslanagic D. 53. Yurdakul K. 54. Akgun E. 19. Erdem U. 60. Toure B. 25. Cissokho M. 21. Diallo D. 8. Gurbulak O. 23. Kiprit M. 9. Minchev G.
Substitutes
17. Altunbas M. 4. Aytekin H. 87. Celikay K. (G) 25. Celik M. (G) 11. Cinar O. 20. Ciss A. 7. Emeksiz D. 2. Fofana A. 64. Guzelbay C. 19. Midilic Y.	5. Arik K. 7. Fofana M. 50. Gocmen B. 41. Gurdal O. 18. Kahya K. C. 26. Kanak K. 31. Karabatak S. (G) 35. Karatas E. (G) 2. Talum Y. 29. Yilmaz B.
Coaches
Simsek Y.	Sapci H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Cikalleshi S. (Pen),
25', Arslanagic D. 🟨,
37', Kurucuk F. 🟨,
37', Minchev G. 🟨,
45', Gurbulak O. 🟨,
45+1', Innocent B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 1, Akgun E. ⚽, Gurbulak O. (A),
64', Minchev G. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
69', Ivan A. ↓, Ciss A. ↑,
69', Can Esendemir Y. ↓, Fofana A. ↑,
79', Cihan M. ↓, Cinar O. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Cinar O. ⚽, Candeias D. (A),
86', Toure B. ↓, Kanak K. ↑,
86', Cissokho M. ↓, Arik K. ↑,
90+2', Candeias D. ↓, Emeksiz D. ↑,
90+2', Fofana M. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 1.

Adanaspor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Manisa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Adanaspor: Yildirim M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Manisa: Dani Ramirez (Red Card)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Adanaspor won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Adanaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adanaspor
Turkish First League
01.02.25	Pendikspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Adanaspor - Igdirspor	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Erokspor - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Boluspor - Adanaspor	3:1 ✺
05.01.25	Adanaspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLT
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
02.02.25	Manisa FK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:2 ✺
27.01.25	Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Manisa FK - İstanbulspor	0:1 ✺
13.01.25	Manisa FK - Umraniyespor	0:3 ✺
05.01.25	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
30.08.24	Manisa FK - Adanaspor	0:0
28.04.24	Adanaspor - Manisa FK	1:1
10.12.23	Manisa FK - Adanaspor	1:1
02.10.22	Manisa FK - Adanaspor	3:2
06.03.22	Adanaspor - Manisa FK	2:0
17.10.21	Manisa FK - Adanaspor	0:3

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