The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Adelaide Comets 31%
Draw 25.1%
Croydon 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.8%
23.8%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
23.1%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Croydon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Comets than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Croydon than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Croydon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Adelaide Comets - Croydon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 3, ⚽,
85', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Comets won 1.
Adelaide Comets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Croydon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Comets won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:28. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide Comets won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
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