Match Info

A-League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Coopers Stadium (Adelaide)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 1
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Adelaide United		Auckland FC

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.25	Watch
	2.18	3.35	3.15	Watch
	2.31	3.38	3.38
	2.3	3.19	3.34	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.1
	2.29	3.37	3.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.11)	3.27 ↓ (3.61)	3.27 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide United
42.1%

Draw
28.9%

Auckland FC
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

25.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	33.3%	26.7%

Adelaide United - Auckland FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Auckland will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 3. Vriends B. (C) 4. Kikianis P. 7. Kitto R. 55. Alagich E. 35. Burkitt B. 44. White R. 12. Yull J. 19. Dukuly Y. 87. Anselmo	1. Woud M. (G) 2. Sakai H. (C) 23. Hall D. 4. Pijnaker N. 17. Elliot C. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 6. Verstraete L. 7. Howieson C. 77. Brook L. 9. Cosgrove S. 21. Randall J.
Substitutes
40. Cox E. (G) 58. Crawford H. 23. Duzel L. 11. Goodwin C. 9. Jovanovic L. 10. Muniz J. 52. Phillis S.	15. De Vries F. 57. Fitzharris V. 14. Gillion L. 12. Hilton J. (G) 18. Mckenlay F. 27. Rogerson L. 52. Vicelich L.
Coaches
Andrioli A.	Corica S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Sakai H. 🟨,
24', Anselmo ↓, Jovanovic L. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Girdwood-Reich J. ⚽, Brook L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Cosgrove S. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Verstraete L. 🟨,
70', Kitto R. ↓, Goodwin C. ↑,
70', Burkitt B. ↓, Muniz J. ↑,
76', Brook L. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
76', Elliot C. ↓, De Vries F. ↑,
80', Barnett J. ↓, Crawford H. ↑,
84', Cosgrove S. ↓, Gillion L. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Rogerson L. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
90', Sakai H. ↓, Vicelich L. ↑,
90', Randall J. ↓, Fitzharris V. ↑,
90+4', Alagich E. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Adelaide is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Auckland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Auckland has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Adelaide: Pierias D. (Knee Injury) Riak A. (Injury)

There will not play in Auckland: Francois M. (Inactive) Gallegos L. F. (Injury) Sail O. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Auckland: Howieson C. (Injury) May G. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Australian A-League for now

Auckland FC: 14.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Adelaide United	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Auckland FC	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide United
Australian A-League
09.05.26	Auckland FC - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Adelaide United - Macarthur FC	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Adelaide United - Auckland FC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWWTT
- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
09.05.26	Auckland FC - Adelaide United	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Auckland FC - Melbourne City	2:1 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Sydney - Auckland FC	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Auckland FC - Melbourne Victory	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
09.05.26	Auckland FC - Adelaide United	1:1
03.04.26	Adelaide United - Auckland FC	1:1
01.11.25	Auckland FC - Adelaide United	2:1
28.02.25	Auckland FC - Adelaide United	4:4
22.01.25	Adelaide United - Auckland FC	2:2

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