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Current Win Probability
Auckland FC 74.4%
Draw 15.8%
Central Coast Mariners 9.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67%
19.8%
13.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.6%
18.8%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Auckland FC's performance.
Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
57.1%
14.3%
28.6%
Auckland FC - Central Coast Mariners Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Auckland will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Central Coast will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Woud M. (G) 17. Elliot C. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 23. Hall D. 2. Sakai H. (C) 6. Verstraete L. 8. Gallegos L. F. 27. Rogerson L. 77. Brook L. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S.
30. Redmayne A. (C) 15. Roux S. 2. Donachie J. 26. Tapp B. 5. Mauragis L. 23. Lavale O. 48. Donnell C. 45. Mantell J. 6. Eames H. 72. Auglah A. 18. Blair N.
Substitutes
35. Bidois J. 57. Fitzharris V. 12. Hilton J. (G) 7. Howieson C. 10. May G. 18. Mckenlay F. 52. Vicelich L.
37. Brandtman B. 11. James Ngor S. 43. Nasso J. 3. Paull N. 40. Peraic-Cullen D. (G) 16. Steele H. 7. Theoharous C.
Coaches
Corica S.
Moon W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Sakai H. 🟨,
16', Donachie J. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Auglah A. ⚽, Blair N. (A),
27', Brook L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Roux S. 🟨,
56', Elliot C. ↓, May G. ↑,
62', Mantell J. ↓, James Ngor S. ↑,
73', Verstraete L. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
73', Randall J. ↓, Fitzharris V. ↑,
78', Redmayne A. 🟨,
82', Lavale O. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
87', Girdwood-Reich J. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,
90+4', James Ngor S. ↓, Paull N. ↑,
90+4', Eames H. ↓, Steele H. ↑,
90+5', Steele H. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
Auckland has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Central Coast is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Central Coast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Auckland is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Auckland: Brimmer J.
(Inactive)
De Vries F.
(Calf Injury)
Sail O.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S.
(Injury)
Di Pizio M.
(Injury)
McCalmont A.
(Inactive)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Theoharous C.
(Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).