The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Auckland FC 44.4%
Draw 26.1%
Adelaide United 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50%
24.1%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
25%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Auckland FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Auckland FC's form might have worsened.
Adelaide United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auckland FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Auckland FC - Adelaide United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Auckland will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Adelaide will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Auckland (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Auckland (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Woud M. (G) 2. Sakai H. (C) 23. Hall D. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 17. Elliot C. 6. Verstraete L. 7. Howieson C. 77. Brook L. 10. May G. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S.
22. Smits J. (G) 14. Barnett J. 3. Vriends B. (C) 4. Kikianis P. 19. Dukuly Y. 44. White R. 23. Duzel L. 55. Alagich E. 58. Crawford H. 87. Anselmo 12. Yull J.
Substitutes
15. De Vries F. 57. Fitzharris V. 14. Gillion L. 12. Hilton J. (G) 18. Mckenlay F. 4. Pijnaker N. 27. Rogerson L.
42. Ayoubi A. 35. Burkitt B. 40. Cox E. (G) 11. Goodwin C. 10. Muniz J. 52. Phillis S. 62. Talladira F.
Coaches
Corica S.
Andrioli A.
Preview
First leg.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In recent matches, Auckland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Adelaide is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Auckland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Auckland might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Auckland: De Vries F.
(Calf Injury)
Francois M.
(Inactive)
Gallegos L. F.
(Injury)
Sail O.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Adelaide: Jovanovic L.
(Red Card)
Pierias D.
(Knee Injury)
Riak A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Auckland: Rogerson L.
(Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 2.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 3:2.5).
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Woud M. (G) 
Sakai H. (C) 
Hall D. 
Girdwood-Reich J. 
Verstraete L. 
May G. 
Cosgrove S. 
Smits J. (G) 
Anselmo 
Muniz J. 
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