Match Info

Cymru South - Round 5

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Afan Lido		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.45	2.42
	4.96	4.75	1.51	Watch
	2.54	4.04	2.34
	2.02	3.8	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (1.85)	4.01 ↑ (3.5)	2.3 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
32.9%

Draw
24.5%

Cardiff Draconians
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Afan Lido's form might have worsened.

Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff Draconians's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Afan Lido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff Draconians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Afan Lido - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff Draconians (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Roberts S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Bowen D. ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, Cawley S. ⚽,
80', Langley J. 🟥,
83', 1 - 3, Reed L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cardiff Draconians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Afan Lido has had a series of away games.

Afan Lido is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
12.09.25	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	4:0 ✺
06.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Afan Lido	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Afan Lido - Treowen Stars	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWL
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
13.09.25	Baglan Dragons - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Cardiff Draconians - Aberystwyth Town	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Pontypridd United - Cardiff Draconians	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Carmarthen Town - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 TWWLL

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