Match Info

Cymru South - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Cardiff Draconians		Aberystwyth Town

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.21	3.6	2.02
	1.78	3.75	4.03	Watch
	3.16	3.45	2.03
	2.85	3.55	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.85)	3.55 ↑ (3.53)	2.44 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Draconians
33.9%

Draw
26.9%

Aberystwyth Town
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

25.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Cardiff Draconians - Aberystwyth Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bowen D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Bowen D. ⚽,
63', 2 - 1, Downs D. ⚽,
68', Mayemba S. 🟥,
77', 3 - 1, Treharne H. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

Cardiff Draconians has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aberystwyth has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Aberystwyth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aberystwyth might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
22.08.25	Pontypridd United - Cardiff Draconians	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Carmarthen Town - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Cardiff Draconians - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
19.07.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLLL
- Aberystwyth Town
Welsh Cymru South
25.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Carmarthen Town - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Aberystwyth Town - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
02.08.25	Barry Town United - Aberystwyth Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLTWL

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