Match Info

Cymru South - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Cambrian United		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.15	6.5
	1.35	5.37	6.3
	1.00	14.63	25.00	Watch
	1.32	4.95	7.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)	7.53 ↑ (4.8)	11.24 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambrian United
78.3%

Draw
13%

Afan Lido
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

18.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambrian United's performance.

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambrian United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Cambrian United - Afan Lido Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Cambrian United (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambrian United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Edwards D. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Bateman C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
65', 4 - 0, Williams C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 3.

Cambrian United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Afan Lido has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Afan Lido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cambrian United is considered a favorite.

We predict that Cambrian United will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:12. (average 2.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambrian United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambrian United
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Cambrian United - Cardiff Metropolitan	2:1 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
05.09.25	Newport City - Cambrian United	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Cambrian United - Ynyshir Albions	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Cambrian United - Llantwit Major	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Cambrian United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
06.09.25	Ynyshir Albions - Afan Lido	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4 ✺
09.08.25	Afan Lido - Treowen Stars	0:4 ✺
Welsh League Cup
01.08.25	Afan Lido - Swansea City U21	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.02.25	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	1:2
Welsh FA Cup
14.12.24	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:1 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
16.08.24	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	0:0
08.03.24	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	2:5
28.08.23	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	1:1
07.04.23	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	3:1
13.01.23	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	1:1

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