Match Info

Cymru South - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday


	Pontardawe Town		Newport City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.55	2.08
	2.91	3.8	2.06
	2.85	3.78	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.75	2.03
	2.7	3.95	2.24
	2.75	3.65	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.38)	3.75 ↑ (3.74)	2.12 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontardawe Town
32.5%

Draw
24.3%

Newport City
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

24.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontardawe Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pontardawe Town's form might have worsened.

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport City's recent form is better than expected.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Lynch T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 0 - 3, Lynch T. ⚽,
83', 0 - 4, Sage E. ⚽,

Preview

Pontardawe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Newport City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Pontardawe	8	3	0	5	14:16	-2	9
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
07.08.26	Pontypridd United - Pontardawe Town	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Caerphilly Athletic	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Cardiff Metropolitan - Pontardawe Town	5:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
20.04.24	Baglan Dragons - Pontardawe Town	1:2 ✺
17.04.24	Pontardawe Town - Cambrian United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWLWL
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
31.07.26	Llanelli - Newport City	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Newport City - Newport County	0:5 ✺
26.06.26	Cambrian United - Newport City	1:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
18.04.26	Newport City - Trefelin	0:5 ✺
03.04.26	Ammanford - Newport City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLL

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