Match Info

Cymru South - Round 29

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Afan Lido		Cwmbran Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.55	6.5
	1.38	5.08	6.15
	1.4	4.61	7.27	Watch
	1.33	4.4	6.5
	1.33	4.7	7.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)	4.67 ↓ (4.68)	6.74 ↓ (7.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Afan Lido
67%

Draw
19.5%

Cwmbran Celtic
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

19.8%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

18.8%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Griffiths L. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 2 - 0, McCreesh L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 2 - 1, Thomas D. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Griffiths L. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 1, Keetch C. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 3.

Afan Lido has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cwmbran Celtic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Afan Lido is the obvious favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Afan Lido won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 2.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Afan Lido won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Afan Lido	10	3	2	5	13:17	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Aberystwyth Town - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Treowen Stars - Afan Lido	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Afan Lido - Llantwit Major	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Afan Lido - Cambrian United	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WWWLL
- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
30.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Trefelin	1:8 ✺
24.03.26	Baglan Dragons - Cwmbran Celtic	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Caerau Ely - Cwmbran Celtic	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Pontypridd United	2:5 ✺
10.03.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Llantwit Major	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
15.08.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4
22.03.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:1
08.11.24	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	4:1
17.02.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	2:0
27.10.23	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1
17.02.23	Afan Lido - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1
19.11.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Afan Lido	1:4

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