Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Goiatuba

	1	X	2
	1.80	2.87	4.60
	1.75	2.92	4.8
	1.89	2.93	4.77
	1.86	2.94	4.76	Watch
	1.87	2.8	4.7
	1.85	2.82	4.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.7)	2.88 ↓ (3.25)	4.75 ↓ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
49.4%

Draw
31.5%

Goiatuba
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

27.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

26.3%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Goiatuba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiatuba than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Goiatuba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Vini Hora ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Alex Bruno ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Daniel de Pauli (Penalty Awarded),
1, Michel Douglas (Penalty Awarded),
2, Fagner (Penalty Awarded),
2, Allef (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bruno Nunes (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gustavo Ramos (Penalty Awarded),
4, Gabriel Silva (Penalty Awarded),
4, Paulinho (Penalty Awarded),
5, Omar (Penalty Awarded),
5, Motta (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

ASA has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Goiatuba is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, ASA is a strong favorite.

We predict that ASA will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Cianorte	5:1 ✺
18.07.26	Cianorte - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ivinhema	4:0 ✺
06.07.26	Ivinhema - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW
- Goiatuba EC
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Goiatuba	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Goiatuba - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:0 ✺
12.07.26	Manauara - Goiatuba	1:3 penalties ✺
04.07.26	Goiatuba - Manauara	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Goiatuba - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWLW

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Goiatuba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide