Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 8

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.9	3.7
	2.1	2.95	3.5
	1.96	2.73	4.34
	1.96	2.73	4.35
	1.85	3.22	4.05
	2.1	2.95	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	2.91 ↓ (3.14)	3.91 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
45.6%

Draw
31.2%

Itabaiana
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Leilson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Jupi ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
09.06.24	Itabaiana - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0 ✺
01.06.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Retrô Brasil	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Juazeirense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTTWT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
09.06.24	Itabaiana - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0 ✺
01.06.24	Jacuipense - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Itabaiana - Sergipe	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Petrolina - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
09.06.24	Itabaiana - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	3:0
15.08.21	Itabaiana - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	4:1
27.06.21	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Itabaiana	0:2
22.06.19	Itabaiana - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	4:1
16.06.19	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Itabaiana	2:0

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide