Match Info
Copa Alagoas - Round 2Date: 4 February 2026, WednesdayLocation: Estádio Alfredo Leahy (Penedo)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Penedense |
|
Murici |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2 |
2.92 |
3.8 |
|
 |
1.99 |
3.22 |
3.67 |
 Watch |
 |
2.02 |
2.89 |
3.84 |
|
 |
2 |
3 |
3.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↓
(2.28) |
3.01 ↑
(2.99) |
3.77 ↑
(3.08) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Penedense
45.5% | Draw
30.3% | Murici
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penedense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Penedense's performance.Murici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murici might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penedense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murici than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murici could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Penedense - Murici Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Recent form of Penedense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Murici's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Penedense will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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