Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca) 🌤️ ...


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		União Carmolandense

	1	X	2
	1.27	5	8.25
	1.15	5.9	13.5
	1.18	5.46	16.75	Watch
	1.14	5.75	16
	1.15	5.9	13.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.32)	5.6 ↑ (4.6)	13.6 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
77.1%

Draw
16.2%

União Carmolandense
6.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.4%

19.6%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

16.6%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.

União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União Carmolandense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - União Carmolandense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - ASA (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ASA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Charles ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Wanderson ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Tiba ⚽,
74', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
74', 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

ASA has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

União Carmolandense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, ASA is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ASA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	União Carmolandense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:4 ✺
24.05.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Lagarto - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Sergipe - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTWW
- União Carmolandense
Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	União Carmolandense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:4 ✺
25.05.25	Sergipe - União Carmolandense	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Juazeirense - União Carmolandense	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	União Carmolandense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Jequié - União Carmolandense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
31.05.25	União Carmolandense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:4

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - União Carmolandense