The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Agropecuario Argentino 45%
Draw 32.1%
Almirante Brown 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.9%
28.6%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
27.8%
21%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agropecuario Argentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agropecuario Argentino, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Agropecuario Argentino - Almirante Brown Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G)
7. Abreliano M.
4. Alegre Rojas G.
10. Almada T.
2. Dattola A.
11. Gonzalez R.
8. Iglesias L.
6. Levi M.
5. Machado W.
9. Villalba S.
3. Villoldo T.
Substitutes
14. Acosta N.
. Cardozo E.
15. Cenci B.
18. Escurra J.
. Flores G.
12. Martinez R. (G)
13. Velazquez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Gagliardi A. ⚽, Melo A. (A),
27', Abreliano M. 🟥,
28', Melo A. 🟨,
31', Sanchez N. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Villalba S. ⚽, Dattola A. (A),
41', Alegre Rojas G. ↓, Cardozo E. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Melo A. ↓, Cabello J. ↑,
63', Gonzalez R. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
64', Almada T. ↓, Acosta N. ↑,
69', Villalba S. ↓, Cenci B. ↑,
69', Dattola A. ↓, Escurra J. ↑,
71', Galvan B. 🟨,
73', Mosqueira R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
73', Lemos D. ↓, Aranda B. ↑,
75', Levi M. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Gagliardi A. (Pen),
81', Blando B. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
82', Sanchez N. ↓, Henriquez F. ↑,
84', Machado W. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Aguirre E. ⚽,
87', Aguirre E. 🟨,
90+4', Coronel F. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Agropecuario won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Almirante Brown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Agropecuario will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Agropecuario won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Agropecuario won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Almirante Brown - the odds 4.32 are the expected chance of winning is 21.55%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Galvan B. (G) 
Machado W. 
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