Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 28

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Almirante Brown		Gimnasia Jujuy

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.7	2.7	Watch
	3	2.7	2.55
	3.05	2.68	2.58	Watch
	3.13	2.77	2.71
	3.11	2.59	2.77	Watch
	3.1	2.62	2.62
	3.08	2.69	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.29)	2.68 ↑ (2.67)	2.66 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
30.2%

Draw
34.8%

Gimnasia Jujuy
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

34.7%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

34.9%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Gimnasia Jujuy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia Jujuy than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Gimnasia Jujuy will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia Jujuy (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Galvan B. (G) 7. Abreliano M. 4. Alegre Rojas G. 2. Dattola A. (C) 6. Levi M. 3. Villoldo T. 8. Iglesias L. 5. Machado W. 10. Almada T. 11. Gonzalez R. 9. Villalba S.	1. Alvarez M. (G) 4. Palazzo B. 2. Cosaro G. (C) 6. Dematei N. 3. Endrizzi E. 8. Camacho S. 5. Soria H. 7. Maidana F. 10. Molina F. 9. Quintana A. 11. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
14. Acosta N. 18. Belloso M. 15. Cenci B. 20. Garcia D. 17. Garcia F. 12. Martinez R. (G) 16. Quinteros T. 19. Vega L. 13. Velazquez J.	12. Anchoverri S. (G) 19. Casa M. 15. Dure F. 20. Juarez D. 14. Lopez D. 17. Noble M. 13. Sanchez S. 16. Trasante J. 18. Velazquez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Endrizzi E. 🟨,
38', Machado W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', Almada T. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
73', Iglesias L. ↓, Cenci B. ↑,
75', Maidana F. ↓, Dure F. ↑,
75', Quintana A. ↓, Casa M. ↑,
79', Levi M. 🟨,
86', Molina F. ↓, Velazquez R. ↑,
88', Gonzalez R. ↓, Belloso M. ↑,
88', Villalba S. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
90+2', Dure F. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnasia Jujuy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Almirante Brown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:13. (average 0.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Almirante Brown won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.08.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
03.08.25	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	1:3 ✺
27.07.25	Chaco For Ever - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Almirante Brown - Mitre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTWLW
- Gimnasia Jujuy
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Chaco For Ever	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Mitre - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Colón	4:0 ✺
27.07.25	Temperley - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	1:0
29.05.22	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	3:0
24.03.14	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:3
21.09.13	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	3:0
24.03.13	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1
23.09.12	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	1:0
26.05.12	Almirante Brown - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1

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